Difference between revisions of "Study 15.12 Data Products"

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| [[File:CS_Map_0.5s_Study_15_12.png|400px|thumb|left|0.5 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites]]
 
| [[File:CS_Map_0.5s_Study_15_12.png|400px|thumb|left|0.5 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites]]
 
| [[File:CS_Map_0.5s_Study_15_12_marks.png|400px|thumb|left|0.5 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites, marked]]
 
| [[File:CS_Map_0.5s_Study_15_12_marks.png|400px|thumb|left|0.5 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites, marked]]
−
| [[File:2008_NGA_Basemap_0.5s.png|400px|thumb|0.2 sec 2008 NGA basemap]]
+
| [[File:2008_NGA_Basemap_0.5s.png|400px|thumb|0.5 sec 2008 NGA basemap]]
 
|-
 
|-
 
! 1 sec geometric mean
 
! 1 sec geometric mean
 
| [[File:CS_Map_1s_Study_15_12.png|400px|thumb|left|1 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites]]
 
| [[File:CS_Map_1s_Study_15_12.png|400px|thumb|left|1 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites]]
 
| [[File:CS_Map_1s_Study_15_12_marks.png|400px|thumb|left|1 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites, marked]]
 
| [[File:CS_Map_1s_Study_15_12_marks.png|400px|thumb|left|1 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites, marked]]
−
| [[File:2008_NGA_Basemap_1s.png|400px|thumb|0.2 sec 2008 NGA basemap]]
+
| [[File:2008_NGA_Basemap_1s.png|400px|thumb|1 sec 2008 NGA basemap]]
 
|-
 
|-
 
! 2 sec geometric mean
 
! 2 sec geometric mean
Line 104: Line 104:
 
=== Disaggregations ===
 
=== Disaggregations ===
  
−
We did disaggregations for CyberShake and the 4 NGA-2s at 0.5 sec and 0.2 sec, at prob=1e-4.  Below are images for each, along with the top 5 contributing sources:
+
We did disaggregations for CyberShake and the 4 NGA-2s at 3 sigma at 0.5 sec and 0.2 sec, at prob=1e-4.  Below are images for each, along with the top 5 contributing sources:
  
−
{|
+
{| border=1
 
! Data Source
 
! Data Source
 
! 0.5 sec value at prob=4e-4
 
! 0.5 sec value at prob=4e-4
Line 117: Line 117:
 
! CyberShake
 
! CyberShake
 
| 1.08g
 
| 1.08g
−
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.5sec_CyberShake.png|400px|thumb|left]]
+
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.5sec_CyberShake.png|300px|thumb|left]]
−
| 47.0% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>23.4% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158))<br/>12.5% Raymond (source 247))<br/>10.6% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244))<br/>5.9% Puente Hills (source 242)
+
| 47.0% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>23.4% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>12.5% Raymond (source 247)<br/>10.6% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)<br/>5.9% Puente Hills (source 242)
−
|
+
| 1.35g
−
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.2sec_CyberShake.png|400px|thumb|left]]
+
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.2sec_CyberShake.png|300px|thumb|left]]
−
|
+
| 30.8% Verdugo (source 238)<br/>30.7% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>22.1% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)<br/>11.1% Puente Hills (source 242)<br/>4.9% Raymond (source 247)
 
|-
 
|-
 
! ASK2014
 
! ASK2014
 
| 1.24g
 
| 1.24g
−
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.5sec_ASK2014.png|400px|thumb|left]]
+
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.5sec_ASK2014.png|300px|thumb|left]]
−
|
+
| 28.7% Raymond (source 247)<br/>17.0% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>14.3% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>7.2% Hollywood (source 184)<br/>7.0% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)
−
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.2sec_ASK2014.png|400px|thumb|left]]
+
| 2.81g
−
|
+
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.2sec_ASK2014.png|300px|thumb|left]]
 +
| 30.3% Raymond (source 247)<br/>19.4% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>15.1% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>7.6% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)<br/>7.1% Hollywood (source 184)
 
|-
 
|-
 
! BSSA2014
 
! BSSA2014
 
| 1.51g
 
| 1.51g
−
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.5sec_BSSA2014.png|400px|thumb|left]]
+
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.5sec_BSSA2014.png|300px|thumb|left]]
−
|
+
| 30.5% Raymond (source 247)<br/>25.4% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>9.4% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>7.0% Puente Hills (Santa Fe Springs) (source 245)<br/>7.0% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)
−
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.2sec_BSSA2014.png|400px|thumb|left]]
+
| 2.48g
−
|
+
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.2sec_BSSA2014.png|300px|thumb|left]]
 +
| 32.1% Raymond (source 247)<br/>26.9% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>9.1% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>7.7% Puente Hills (Santa Fe Springs) (source 245)<br/>6.6% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)
 
|-
 
|-
 
! CB2014
 
! CB2014
 
| 1.59g
 
| 1.59g
−
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.5sec_CB2014.png|400px|thumb|left]]
+
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.5sec_CB2014.png|300px|thumb|left]]
−
|
+
| 33.6% Raymond (source 247)<br/>21.0% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>11.2% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>8.0% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)<br/>7.7% Hollywood (source 184)
−
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.2sec_CB2014.png|400px|thumb|left]]
+
| 2.78g
−
|
+
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.2sec_CB2014.png|300px|thumb|left]]
 +
| 32.1% Raymond (source 247)<br/>24.1% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>9.9% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>8.8% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)<br/>7.8% Hollywood (source 184)
 
|-
 
|-
 
! CY2014
 
! CY2014
 
| 1.65g
 
| 1.65g
−
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.5sec_CY2014.png|400px|thumb|left]]
+
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.5sec_CY2014.png|300px|thumb|left]]
−
|
+
| 33.5% Raymond (source 247)<br/>20.4% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>12.8% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>8.3% Sierra Madre Connected (source 273)<br/>7.2% Sierra Madre (source 271)
−
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.2sec_CY2014.png|400px|thumb|left]]
+
| 2.66g
−
|
+
| [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.2sec_CY2014.png|300px|thumb|left]]
 +
| 31.8% Raymond (source 247)<br/>18.6% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>15.5% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>7.1% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)<br/>7.0% Sierra Madre Connected (source 273)
 +
|}
 +
 
 +
We then plotted the CyberShake actual and GMPE log-normal ground motion PDFs for ruptures on the Raymond fault which dominates the hazard at short periods for this site. Plots are included for the mean magnitude rupture (M6.55) and the max magnitude rupture (M7.05). The CyberShake actual distribution is plotted in gray, and the GMPE log-normal distributions are in pastels. Vertical lines show mean values.
 +
 
 +
{| border=1
 +
! Rupture
 +
! 0.2 sec
 +
! 0.5 sec
 +
! 2 sec
 +
! 5 sec
 
|-
 
|-
 +
! Raymond M6.55
 +
| [[File:PAS_247_Raymond_rup6_0.2s_RotD50.png|300px|thumb|left]]
 +
| [[File:PAS_247_Raymond_rup6_0.5s_RotD50.png|300px|thumb|left]]
 +
| [[File:PAS_247_Raymond_rup6_2s_RotD50.png|300px|thumb|left]]
 +
| [[File:PAS_247_Raymond_rup6_5s_RotD50.png|300px|thumb|left]]
 +
|-
 +
! Raymond M7.05
 +
| [[File:PAS_247_Raymond_rup11_0.2s_RotD50.png|300px|thumb|left]]
 +
| [[File:PAS_247_Raymond_rup11_0.5s_RotD50.png|300px|thumb|left]]
 +
| [[File:PAS_247_Raymond_rup11_2s_RotD50.png|300px|thumb|left]]
 +
| [[File:PAS_247_Raymond_rup11_5s_RotD50.png|300px|thumb|left]]
 +
|}

Latest revision as of 16:10, 22 September 2016

Hazard Maps

Below are hazard maps from Study 15.12 (150 ppi).

Basic Maps

0.2 sec geometric mean
0.2 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites
0.2 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites, marked
0.2 sec 2008 NGA basemap
0.5 sec geometric mean
0.5 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites
0.5 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites, marked
0.5 sec 2008 NGA basemap
1 sec geometric mean
1 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites
1 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites, marked
1 sec 2008 NGA basemap
2 sec geometric mean
2 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites
2 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites, marked
3 sec geometric mean
3 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites
3 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites, marked
5 sec geometric mean
5 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites
5 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites, marked
10 sec geometric mean
10 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites
10 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites, marked

Comparison Maps

2 sec 3 sec 5 sec 10 sec
Difference
Study 15.12 vs Study 15.4, 2 sec geometric mean, difference map. Warm colors are higher Study 15.12.
Study 15.12 vs Study 15.4, 3 sec geometric mean, difference map. Warm colors are higher Study 15.12.
Study 15.12 vs Study 15.4, 5 sec geometric mean, difference map. Warm colors are higher Study 15.12.
Study 15.12 vs Study 15.4, 10 sec geometric mean, difference map. Warm colors are higher Study 15.12.
Ratio
Study 15.12 vs Study 15.4, 2 sec geometric mean, ratio map. Warm colors are higher Study 15.12.
Study 15.12 vs Study 15.4, 3 sec geometric mean, ratio map. Warm colors are higher Study 15.12.
Study 15.12 vs Study 15.4, 5 sec geometric mean, ratio map. Warm colors are higher Study 15.12.
Study 15.12 vs Study 15.4, 10 sec geometric mean, ratio map. Warm colors are higher Study 15.12.

Comparison with NGA results

We would expect the stochastic results to show reasonably good agreement with the deterministic results, but they do not. Here are some data products to investigate this. We've chosen 3 sites with large differences (MRVY, s028, LAPD) and 2 we're familiar with (PAS, USC).

NGA-2 curve comparisons

We replotted the curves using NGA-2s (instead of NGA-1) for comparison, and RotD50.

Site 0.5 sec 0.2 sec
USC
USC Run4384 NGA2 0.5sec RotD50.png
USC Run4384 NGA2 0.2sec RotD50.png
PAS
PAS Run4282 NGA2 0.5sec RotD50.png
PAS Run4282 NGA2 0.2sec RotD50.png
MRVY
MRVY Run4328 NGA2 0.5sec RotD50.png
MRVY Run4328 NGA2 0.2sec RotD50.png
s028
S028 Run4422 NGA2 0.5sec RotD50.png
S028 Run4422 NGA2 0.2sec RotD50.png
LAPD
LAPD Run4294 NGA2 0.5sec RotD50.png
LAPD Run4294 NGA2 0.2sec RotD50.png

Changing RVSIG

We reran PAS using rvsig1 = 0.1; comparison curves are below.

Blue: rvsig1=0.1, black: rvisg1=-1.0
Blue: rvsig1=0.1, black: rvisg1=-1.0

Disaggregations

We did disaggregations for CyberShake and the 4 NGA-2s at 3 sigma at 0.5 sec and 0.2 sec, at prob=1e-4. Below are images for each, along with the top 5 contributing sources:

Data Source 0.5 sec value at prob=4e-4 0.5 sec plot 0.5 sec contributors 0.2 sec value at prob=4e-4 0.2 sec plot 0.2 sec contributors
CyberShake 1.08g
PAS Run4282 Disagg 4e-4 0.5sec CyberShake.png
47.0% Verdugo (source 283)
23.4% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)
12.5% Raymond (source 247)
10.6% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)
5.9% Puente Hills (source 242) 		1.35g
PAS Run4282 Disagg 4e-4 0.2sec CyberShake.png
30.8% Verdugo (source 238)
30.7% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)
22.1% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)
11.1% Puente Hills (source 242)
4.9% Raymond (source 247)
ASK2014 1.24g
PAS Run4282 Disagg 4e-4 0.5sec ASK2014.png
28.7% Raymond (source 247)
17.0% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)
14.3% Verdugo (source 283)
7.2% Hollywood (source 184)
7.0% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244) 		2.81g
PAS Run4282 Disagg 4e-4 0.2sec ASK2014.png
30.3% Raymond (source 247)
19.4% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)
15.1% Verdugo (source 283)
7.6% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)
7.1% Hollywood (source 184)
BSSA2014 1.51g
PAS Run4282 Disagg 4e-4 0.5sec BSSA2014.png
30.5% Raymond (source 247)
25.4% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)
9.4% Verdugo (source 283)
7.0% Puente Hills (Santa Fe Springs) (source 245)
7.0% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244) 		2.48g
PAS Run4282 Disagg 4e-4 0.2sec BSSA2014.png
32.1% Raymond (source 247)
26.9% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)
9.1% Verdugo (source 283)
7.7% Puente Hills (Santa Fe Springs) (source 245)
6.6% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)
CB2014 1.59g
PAS Run4282 Disagg 4e-4 0.5sec CB2014.png
33.6% Raymond (source 247)
21.0% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)
11.2% Verdugo (source 283)
8.0% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)
7.7% Hollywood (source 184) 		2.78g
PAS Run4282 Disagg 4e-4 0.2sec CB2014.png
32.1% Raymond (source 247)
24.1% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)
9.9% Verdugo (source 283)
8.8% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)
7.8% Hollywood (source 184)
CY2014 1.65g
PAS Run4282 Disagg 4e-4 0.5sec CY2014.png
33.5% Raymond (source 247)
20.4% Verdugo (source 283)
12.8% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)
8.3% Sierra Madre Connected (source 273)
7.2% Sierra Madre (source 271) 		2.66g
PAS Run4282 Disagg 4e-4 0.2sec CY2014.png
31.8% Raymond (source 247)
18.6% Verdugo (source 283)
15.5% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)
7.1% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)
7.0% Sierra Madre Connected (source 273)

We then plotted the CyberShake actual and GMPE log-normal ground motion PDFs for ruptures on the Raymond fault which dominates the hazard at short periods for this site. Plots are included for the mean magnitude rupture (M6.55) and the max magnitude rupture (M7.05). The CyberShake actual distribution is plotted in gray, and the GMPE log-normal distributions are in pastels. Vertical lines show mean values.

Rupture 0.2 sec 0.5 sec 2 sec 5 sec
Raymond M6.55
PAS 247 Raymond rup6 0.2s RotD50.png
PAS 247 Raymond rup6 0.5s RotD50.png
PAS 247 Raymond rup6 2s RotD50.png
PAS 247 Raymond rup6 5s RotD50.png
Raymond M7.05
PAS 247 Raymond rup11 0.2s RotD50.png
PAS 247 Raymond rup11 0.5s RotD50.png
PAS 247 Raymond rup11 2s RotD50.png
PAS 247 Raymond rup11 5s RotD50.png
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