CyberShake Background Seismicity

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Goal: determine the importance of background seismicity in different parts of CA to either validate it's exclusion in CyberShake or motivate an inclusion strategy.

UCERF2

Calculation parameters:

  • GMPE: NGA-West2 GMPE (average of 4 models)
  • ERF: UCERF2, with and without background seismicity
  • Site Effects: Vs30 is from Wills (2015), no basin depth terms included
  • IMT: 2 second SA.
Model 10% in 50yr 2% in 50yr 1% in 50yr
Excluding Background
Including Background
Ratio Exclude/Include

UCERF3

Calculation parameters:

  • GMPE: NGA-West2 GMPE (average of 4 models)
  • ERF: UCERF3, with the following configurations
    • Supra-seismogenic ruptures only (only supra-seismogenic ruptures have finite fault surfaces in UCERF3, all others treated as gridded)
    • Supra and Sub-seismogenic ruptures only (this adds gridded ruptures that correspond to sub-seimogenic ruptures on known faults)
    • Supra, Sub-seismogenic, and off fault ruptures (complete model)
  • Site Effects: Vs30 is from Wills (2015), no basin depth terms included
  • IMT: 2 second SA.
Model 10% in 50yr 2% in 50yr 1% in 50yr
Supra-Seismogenic On-Fault Only
Sub+Supra-Seismogenic On-Fault Only
Complete Model (Supra+Sub+Off)
Ratio Supra-Only/Complete
Ratio Supra+Sub/Complete