Difference between revisions of "CSEP2 Experiment Planning"

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= Meeting Presentation =
 
= Meeting Presentation =
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The presentation from today's call can be downloaded [[Media:Csep2_call_08_01_18.pptx|here]]. This page will be updated with more information as it becomes available.
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 +
= Minutes =
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* Models within an experiement should produce shared outputs
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* Stochastic event sets provide additional value over grid-based forecasts
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* However, stochastic event sets are not complete catalogs which might need to be considered
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* The utility exists in understanding spatial hazard. Not as scientifically interesting, but useful.
 +
* Might consider adding classic ETAS to the list of initial models to provide important link to CSEP1
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* U3ETAS-NoFault similar to classic ETAS
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* Might consider starting with simpler models than U3ETAS
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* Need to carefully consider handling external forecasts
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* International collaborations are important and we need to work to maintain them.
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= Proposed Groups =
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Below are the proposed working groups to help define experiments.
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== UCERF3 / Fault Based Forecasts ==
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N. Field, M. Page, D. Jackson, and K. Milner
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== Aftershock Forecasts ==
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A. Michael, J. Hardebeck, M. Page and N. van der Elst

Latest revision as of 23:19, 1 August 2018

CSEP Working Group Home Page

Meeting Presentation

The presentation from today's call can be downloaded here. This page will be updated with more information as it becomes available.

Minutes

  • Models within an experiement should produce shared outputs
  • Stochastic event sets provide additional value over grid-based forecasts
  • However, stochastic event sets are not complete catalogs which might need to be considered
  • The utility exists in understanding spatial hazard. Not as scientifically interesting, but useful.
  • Might consider adding classic ETAS to the list of initial models to provide important link to CSEP1
  • U3ETAS-NoFault similar to classic ETAS
  • Might consider starting with simpler models than U3ETAS
  • Need to carefully consider handling external forecasts
  • International collaborations are important and we need to work to maintain them.

Proposed Groups

Below are the proposed working groups to help define experiments.

UCERF3 / Fault Based Forecasts

N. Field, M. Page, D. Jackson, and K. Milner

Aftershock Forecasts

A. Michael, J. Hardebeck, M. Page and N. van der Elst