Difference between revisions of "CSEP Minutes 02-12-2020"
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* Whitepaper should pull from Jordan et al., 2011 and Schorlemmer et al., 2018. | * Whitepaper should pull from Jordan et al., 2011 and Schorlemmer et al., 2018. | ||
* Focus on scientific questions that can be address through prospective testing should be emphasized for NSF. | * Focus on scientific questions that can be address through prospective testing should be emphasized for NSF. | ||
− | * These ideas have been outlined in Grand Challenges. | + | * These ideas have been outlined in [[https://docs.google.com/document/d/1PoamDSogu6IFa7Gslx5QNHhDqPqMJBOSYDUmXdqmPqU/edit?usp=sharing| Grand Challenges document]] prepared by Dave Jackson. |
Latest revision as of 21:50, 12 February 2020
Participants: W. Savran, M. Werner, D. Rhoades, A. Strader, N. Field, P. Maechling
Rise Overview
- Two major experiments being planned:
- (1) Italian short-term OEF focused experiment
- (2) Global experiment including both time-independent and time-dependent forecasts
- Additional experiments involving high-resolution catalogs and Europe-wide testing region discussed.
- ~10 PhD students and PostDocs involved in the project
- Additional modelers are encouraged to participate in the experiment
- Model types include ETAS, Coulomb-based forecasts, and Bayesian model (Inlabru from Edinburgh Group).
- There are practical issues with using slip models for Coulomb forecasting, such as data source and whether modelers can do pre-processing to them.
- SCEC will provide the toolkit used to evaluate forecasts.
- Individual testing centers are responsible for implementing the experiments.
- Toolkit will be released to group at the middle June RISE workshop in Potsdam/Naples.
- SCEC will demonstrate toolkit by showing end-to-end processing of global forecast and short-term forecast.
- California Forecast will be presented at the hopeful CSEP workshop.
Whitepaper
- NSF is soliciting community feedback for competition of the SCEC core funding.
- CSEP should provide a 3pg white-paper arguing for continued support.
- Whitepaper should pull from Jordan et al., 2011 and Schorlemmer et al., 2018.
- Focus on scientific questions that can be address through prospective testing should be emphasized for NSF.
- These ideas have been outlined in [Grand Challenges document] prepared by Dave Jackson.