CSEP Results

This entry describes how to request CSEP forecast and evaluation results from the SCEC CSEP testing center.

Organization of SCEC CSEP by Dispatcher Scripts

To help understand how the CSEP forecasts and tests results are organized, a list of the dispatcher scripts, organized by testing regions, is given below.

• California Testing Region (SCEC Natural Laboratory) Forecasts

1. one-day forecasts
2. five-year models
3. one-day models 1985
4. 3-month and 5-year models 1932
5. 1-day 3-month alarm models 1932
6. 30-minute models 1985
7. 30-minute models 1985 T/W tests
8. one-day models synthetic catalogs 1985 Md2.95
9. one-day models not filtered 1932 using Md2
10. California models (not filtered) 1932 using Md2

• NW Pacific Region Forecasts

1. NW Pacific 1-year
2. NW Pacific 1-day

• SW Pacific Region Forecasts

1. SW Pacific 1-year
2. SW Pacific 1-day

• Global Forecasts

1. Global 1-year
2. Global 0.1-degree 1-year
3. Global 0.1Degree 1-year
4. Global 0.1Degree 1-day

• Oceanic Transform Fault Forecasts

1. Oceanic Transform Fault 1-day

SCEC CSEP Forecast and Evaluation Inventory

CSEP data archives are organized by Testing Region and Forecast Groups. To help identify what CSEP forecast and evaluation test results are available, Fabio has developed and run a script that created an inventory of existing SCEC CSEP forecast and forecast evaluation results.

The current data inventory script counts the existing CSEP data files, and reports on the existing data files, organized by:

• Forecast Testing Region (See above)
• Forecast Groups (See below)
• Forecast Types (See below)
• Forecast Evaluation Result (See below)

CSEP Forecast and Evaluation Test Results Inventory

• CSEP Data Inventory

How to Find Forecasts and Evaluation Test Results in Inventory

• SCEC-natural-laboratory
  • RELM-mainshock-aftershock-hybrid-models-V14.1
  • RELM-mainshock-aftershock-models
  • RELM-mainshock-aftershock-models-corrected
  • RELM-mainshock-models
  • RELM-mainshock-models-corrected
  • USGS-five-year-models
  • USGS-five-year-models-1967
  • USGS-five-year-models-2006
  • USGS-five-year-retrospective-Jan.2013
  • five-year-alarm-models
  • five-year-alarm-models-V9.10
  • five-year-models-Md2-V13.1
  • five-year-models-V13.1
  • five-year-rate-models
  • five-year-rate-models-V9.1
  • one-day-alarm-models-V10.10
  • one-day-alarm-models-V9.10
  • one-day-models
  • one-day-models-Bayesian-V12.7
  • one-day-models-Bayesian-V9.1
  • one-day-models-Md2-Bayesian-V12.10
  • one-day-models-Md2-V12.10
  • Additional Forecast Groups in Data Inventory
  • three-months-models-V9.4

• SWPacific
  • one-day-alarm-models-V10.1
  • one-day-alarm-models-V10.10
  • one-day-models
  • one-year-alarm-models

• NWPacific
  • one-day-alarm-models-V10.1
  • one-day-alarm-models-V10.10
  • one-day-models
  • one-year-alarm-models

• Global
  • one-day-alarm-models-V10.1
  • one-day-alarm-models-V10.10
  • one-day-models-V14.4
  • one-day-models-V9.7
  • one-year-alarm-models
  • one-year-models

• OceanicTransformFaults
  • one-day-models-V12.1

Data Available Differs by Forecast Group

Some forecast groups include forecast:

• (SCEC-natural-laboratory/one-year-models-V13.1)
  • Forecast: JANUSOneYearTV - 1
  • Forecast: JANUSOneYearEEPAS1F - 1
  • Forecast: CONANOneYearMd3 - 1
  • Forecast: JANUSOneYear - 1
  • Forecast: JANUSOneYearPPE - 1

Not all Forecast Groups include Forecast Files. Some forecast groups only include forecast evaluation tests:

• (SCEC-natural-laboratory/RELM-mainshock-aftershock-hybrid-models-V14.1)
  • This forecast group evaluates forecasts made in other forecast groups. To determine forecasts used in evaluation, user must review forecast_group.init.xml

Evaluation Test Result Types

• Evaluation Tests Types Include (this list may not be complete): ['N', 'L', 'CL', 'M', 'S', 'ROC', 'MASS', 'LW', 'RP', 'RD', 'RT', 'RTT', 'T', 'W']

Data Request Format

• Email CSEP data request to software@scec.org

In Data request email, specify the following:

• Testing Region
• Forecast Group Name
• Start Date
• End Date
• Forecast Type
• Evaluation Test Results Type

Related Entries

• SCEC CSEP Web Site
• CSEP Results Viewer (Selected CSEP Results Posted)