Difference between revisions of "CSEP Minutes 02-12-2020"
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''Participants:'' W. Savran, M. Werner, D. Rhoades, A. Strader, N. Field, P. Maechling | ''Participants:'' W. Savran, M. Werner, D. Rhoades, A. Strader, N. Field, P. Maechling | ||
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'''Rise Overview''' | '''Rise Overview''' | ||
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* Additional modelers are encouraged to participate in the experiment | * Additional modelers are encouraged to participate in the experiment | ||
* Model types include ETAS, Coulomb-based forecasts, and Bayesian model (Inlabru from Edinburgh Group). | * Model types include ETAS, Coulomb-based forecasts, and Bayesian model (Inlabru from Edinburgh Group). | ||
| − | * SCEC will provide the toolkit used to evaluate forecasts | + | * There are practical issues with using slip models for Coulomb forecasting, such as data source and whether modelers can do pre-processing to them. |
| − | * Individual testing centers are responsible for implementing the experiments | + | * SCEC will provide the toolkit used to evaluate forecasts. |
| + | * Individual testing centers are responsible for implementing the experiments. | ||
* Toolkit will be released to group at the middle June RISE workshop in Potsdam/Naples. | * Toolkit will be released to group at the middle June RISE workshop in Potsdam/Naples. | ||
| − | * | + | * SCEC will demonstrate toolkit by showing end-to-end processing of global forecast and short-term forecast. |
| + | * California Forecast will be presented at the hopeful CSEP workshop. | ||
| + | |||
| + | '''Whitepaper''' | ||
| + | * NSF is soliciting community feedback for competition of the SCEC core funding. | ||
| + | * CSEP should provide a 3pg white-paper arguing for continued support. | ||
| + | * Whitepaper should pull from Jordan et al., 2011 and Schorlemmer et al., 2018. | ||
| + | * Focus on scientific questions that can be address through prospective testing should be emphasized for NSF. | ||
| + | * These ideas have been outlined in Grand Challenges. | ||
Revision as of 21:44, 12 February 2020
Participants: W. Savran, M. Werner, D. Rhoades, A. Strader, N. Field, P. Maechling
Rise Overview
- Two major experiments being planned:
- (1) Italian short-term OEF focused experiment
- (2) Global experiment including both time-independent and time-dependent forecasts
- Additional experiments involving high-resolution catalogs and Europe-wide testing region discussed.
- ~10 PhD students and PostDocs involved in the project
- Additional modelers are encouraged to participate in the experiment
- Model types include ETAS, Coulomb-based forecasts, and Bayesian model (Inlabru from Edinburgh Group).
- There are practical issues with using slip models for Coulomb forecasting, such as data source and whether modelers can do pre-processing to them.
- SCEC will provide the toolkit used to evaluate forecasts.
- Individual testing centers are responsible for implementing the experiments.
- Toolkit will be released to group at the middle June RISE workshop in Potsdam/Naples.
- SCEC will demonstrate toolkit by showing end-to-end processing of global forecast and short-term forecast.
- California Forecast will be presented at the hopeful CSEP workshop.
Whitepaper
- NSF is soliciting community feedback for competition of the SCEC core funding.
- CSEP should provide a 3pg white-paper arguing for continued support.
- Whitepaper should pull from Jordan et al., 2011 and Schorlemmer et al., 2018.
- Focus on scientific questions that can be address through prospective testing should be emphasized for NSF.
- These ideas have been outlined in Grand Challenges.
