CSEP2 Experiment Planning

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CSEP Working Group Home Page

Meeting Presentation

The presentation from today's call can be downloaded here.

Minutes

  • Models within an experiement should produce shared outputs
  • Stochastic event sets provide additional value over grid-based forecasts
  • However, stochastic event sets are not complete catalogs which might need to be considered
  • The utility exists in understanding spatial hazard. Not as scientifically interesting, but useful.
  • Might consider adding classic ETAS to the list of initial models to provide important link to CSEP1
  • U3ETAS-NoFault similar to classic ETAS
  • Might consider starting with simpler models than U3ETAS
  • Need to carefully consider handling external forecasts
  • International collaborations are important and we need to work to maintain them.

Proposed Groups

Below are the proposed working groups to help define experiments.

UCERF3 / Fault Based Forecasts

N. Field, M. Page, D. Jackson, and K. Milner

Aftershock Forecasts

A. Michael, J. Hardebeck, M. Page and N. van der Elst