Recent CSEP Developments

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CSEP-Related Presentation


Outline of CSEP Developments

  • New testing region in SCEC testing center: Oceanic Transform Faults
  • Support for polygon-based forecasts
  • Polygon-based Oceanic Transform Fault one-day model by Margaret Boettcher
  • Two EAS (EEPAS allowing for AfterShocks) three-month models by David Rhoades for California testing region
  • SHIFT_GSRM one-year model by Peter Bird for high-resolution Global testing region
    SHIFT = Seismic Hazard Inferred From Tectonics (a set of hypotheses/rules from Bird & Liu [2007, SRL]); and
    GSRM = Global Strain Rate Map (a global dataset from Kreemer et al. [2003, GJI], and a major project of the International Lithosphere Project)
  • New T- (the classical paired t-test) and W- (the Wilcoxon signed-rank) evaluation tests (as of CSEP V11.7.0)

Future tasks

  • Evaluation tests should support polygon-based forecasts
  • Web site for testing center results
  • Operations support
  • Increase frequency of processing: from daily to hourly (which models, which tests???)

Possible topics to cover

  • CSEP applicability to other projects (Transient Detection, EEW)
  • Archive for downloaded raw catalogs from authorized data sources (ANSS, CMT)

Poster