CSEP Results

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This entry describes how to request CSEP forecast and evaluation results from the SCEC CSEP testing center.

Organization of SCEC CSEP by Dispatcher Scripts

  • California Testing Region (SCEC Natural Laboratory) Forecasts
  1. one-day forecasts
  2. five-year models
  3. one-day models 1985
  4. 3-month and 5-year models 1932
  5. 1-day 3-month alarm models 1932
  6. 30-minute models 1985
  7. 30-minute models 1985 T/W tests
  8. one-day models synthetic catalogs 1985 Md2.95
  9. one-day models not filtered 1932 using Md2
  10. California models (not filtered) 1932 using Md2
  • NW Pacific Region Forecasts
  1. NW Pacific 1-year
  2. NW Pacific 1-day
  • SW Pacific Region Forecasts
  1. SW Pacific 1-year
  2. SW Pacific 1-day
  • Global Forecasts
  1. Global 1-year
  2. Global 0.1-degree 1-year
  3. Global 0.1Degree 1-year
  4. Global 0.1Degree 1-day
  • Oceanic Transform Fault Forecasts
  1. Oceanic Transform Fault 1-day

Data Requests Information Needed

How to Find Forecasts and Evaluation Test Results in Inventory

  • SCEC-natural-laboratory
    • RELM-mainshock-aftershock-hybrid-models-V14.1
    • RELM-mainshock-aftershock-models
    • RELM-mainshock-aftershock-models-corrected
    • RELM-mainshock-models
    • RELM-mainshock-models-corrected
    • USGS-five-year-models
    • USGS-five-year-models-1967
    • USGS-five-year-models-2006
    • USGS-five-year-retrospective-Jan.2013
    • five-year-alarm-models
    • five-year-alarm-models-V9.10
    • five-year-models-Md2-V13.1
    • five-year-models-V13.1
    • five-year-rate-models
    • five-year-rate-models-V9.1
    • one-day-alarm-models-V10.10
    • one-day-alarm-models-V9.10
    • one-day-models
    • one-day-models-Bayesian-V12.7
    • one-day-models-Bayesian-V9.1
    • one-day-models-Md2-Bayesian-V12.10
    • one-day-models-Md2-V12.10
    • Additional Forecast Groups in Data Inventory
    • three-months-models-V9.4
  • SWPacific
    • one-day-alarm-models-V10.1
    • one-day-alarm-models-V10.10
    • one-day-models
    • one-year-alarm-models
  • NWPacific
    • one-day-alarm-models-V10.1
    • one-day-alarm-models-V10.10
    • one-day-models
    • one-year-alarm-models
  • Global
    • one-day-alarm-models-V10.1
    • one-day-alarm-models-V10.10
    • one-day-models-V14.4
    • one-day-models-V9.7
    • one-year-alarm-models
    • one-year-models
  • OceanicTransformFaults
    • one-day-models-V12.1

CSEP Forecasts Differ by Forecast Group

  • Some forecast groups include forecast:
    • e.g. one-year-models-V13.1
      • Forecast: JANUSOneYearTV - 1
      • Forecast: JANUSOneYearEEPAS1F - 1
      • Forecast: CONANOneYearMd3 - 1
      • Forecast: JANUSOneYear - 1
      • Forecast: JANUSOneYearPPE - 1
  • Not all Forecast Groups include Forecast Files. Some forecast groups run only forecast evaluation tests:
    • RELM-mainshock-aftershock-hybrid-models-V14.1
      • This forecast group evaluate forecasts made in rom other groups

Evaluation Test Result Types

  • Evaluation Tests Types Include: ['N', 'L', 'CL', 'M', 'S', 'ROC', 'MASS', 'LW', 'RP', 'RD', 'RT', 'RTT', 'T', 'W']

CSEP Forecast and Evaluation Test Results Inventory


Data Request Format

  • Email request to software@scec.org

In Data request email, specify the following:

  • Testing Region
  • Forecast Group Name
  • Start Date of Interest
  • End Date of Interest
  • Forecast Type of Interest
  • Evaluation Test Result of Interest

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