CSEP Minutes 08-22-2018

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CSEP Working Group Home Page

Participants: William Savran, Dave Jackson, Andy Michael, David Rhoades, Jacqui Gilchrist, John Vidale, Max Werner, Phil Maechling


Minutes

Topics are CSEP2 Workshop, Experiments, RISE Proposal and International Collaboration

Workshop

  • Change Danijel -> Max for RISE Proposal talk
  • Matt Gerstenberger to hopefully give CSEP New Zealand perspectives
  • Add (need name) for Chinese representative
  • Max Werner will be giving the perspectives for Italy
  • Suggestion to keep documentation of decisions relating to CSEP2

Experiments

  • Would be useful to associate a termination to a particular rupture.
  • To identify direction of rupture. We would probably not be able to assess fault associations with Landers.
  • Test Dave Jacksons ideas with UCERF3-TD instead of UCERF3-TI
  • Understanding user-selected parameters for individual models

International Collaboration

  • New Zealand asked to produce long-term operational forecasts (~50 and 100 yr.) forecasts. Testing time-varying models for long-term prediction.
  • Retrospective tests important for this type of evaluation, not necessarily daily processing.
  • Potential need to accept external forecasts.
  • Side call with CSEP New Zealand (and other Testing centers)

RISE Proposal

  • Number of suggestions to ensure interoperability between the SCEC-CSEP development with a shared common repository.