Scenario ShakeMaps
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Scenario ShakeMaps for Southern California
The USGS has produced a series of scenario ShakeMaps for southern California posted here: USGS Scenario ShakeMap archive.
UCERF Earthquake Probabilities
Using a Newport Inglewood M7.2 and the first shock, UCERF probabilities for subsequent events are:
Newport Inglewood: Main Shock Palos Verdes: 2.01% Compton: 1.58% Anaheim: 0.38% Newport-Inglewood (another rupture): 0.32% Hollywood: 0.28% Redondo Canyon: 0.27% Santa Monica: 0.25%
USGS Scenario ShakeMaps for selected Events
| Scenario EQ | UCERF3 Prob (%) | ShakeMap |
|---|---|---|
| Newport Inglewood: | First Event | 
|
| Palos Verdes | 2.01% | 
|
| Compton | 1.58% | 
|
| Anaheim | 0.38% | 
|
| Hollywood | 0.28% | 
|
| Redondo Canyon | 0.27% | 
|
| Santa Monica | 0.25% | 
|
| Puente Hills | <0.25% | 
|
