CSEP

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The SCEC Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) is developing a system for rigorous evaluation of Earthquake Forecasts.

Please refer to SCEC CSEP Testing Centers for a more detailed information about the project.

Next CSEP Release Status

  • CSEP Trac Site
  • Scheduled Code Freeze: June 1, 2016
  • Scheduled Release Date: July 1, 2016

Proposed tasks for the release:

  • Optimization of evaluation tests for high-resolution Global models (in collaboration with GFZ)
  • Support for non-Poisson models within CSEP
  • Switch to ComCat for authorized data source of catalogs
  • Web Developments
    • Updates to web site so all plots on request rather than automatically
    • Data products for test periods on request
    • Web application running to meet user requests

Storage estimate for new forecasts classes within SCEC Testing Center

  • High-resolution 0.1degree Global testing region (per year)
    • 1-day forecasts (KJSS)
      • 5Tb (if using uncompressed original and HDF5 formats of forecasts)
      • 750Gb (if using gzip-compressed original and HDF5 formats of forecasts)
    • 1-year forecasts (KJSS, SHIFT_GSRM)
      • 50Gb (if using uncompressed original and HDF5 formats of forecasts)
  • CA testing region (per year)
    • 30-minutes forecasts (ETAS, ETASPPE): 1.5Tb
      • Disable publishing of forecasts to preserve storage on publishing server (only 22Gb disk space left as of 2014/03/03)
      • Switch to event-based testing

Potentiel CSEP Development Priorities

  • restore m8 evaluation
  • re-run cantebury tests with rt catalog and no delay
  • set gear tests in NUM, Mag, T and N Test
  • Process xml from QF

CSEP-Related Presentation 2016

CSEP-Related Presentation 2015

CSEP-Related Presentation 2012

CSEP-Related Presentation 2011

CSEP-Related Presentation 2010

CSEP-Related Presentation 2009

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