Difference between revisions of "CSEP2 Experiment Planning"

From SCECpedia
Jump to navigationJump to search
Line 4: Line 4:
  
 
= Meeting Presentation =
 
= Meeting Presentation =
[[Media:Csep2_call_08_01_18.pptx|Presentation]]
+
The presentation from today's call can be downloaded [[Media:Csep2_call_08_01_18.pptx|here]].
 +
 
 +
= Minutes =
 +
* Models within an experiement should produce shared outputs
 +
* Stochastic event sets provide additional value over grid-based forecasts
 +
* However, stochastic event sets are not complete catalogs which might need to be considered
 +
* The utility exists in understanding spatial hazard. Not as scientifically interesting, but useful.
 +
* Might consider adding classic ETAS to the list of initial models to provide important link to CSEP1
 +
* U3ETAS-NoFault similar to classic ETAS
 +
* Might consider starting with simpler models than U3ETAS
 +
* Need to carefully consider handling external forecasts
 +
* International collaborations are important and we need to work to maintain them.
 +
 
 +
= Proposed Groups =
 +
Below are the proposed working groups to help define experiments.
 +
 
 +
== UCERF3 / Fault Based Forecasts ==
 +
N. Field, M. Page, D. Jackson, and K. Milner
 +
 
 +
== Aftershock Forecasts ==
 +
A. Michael, J. Hardebeck, M. Page and N. van der Elst

Revision as of 23:19, 1 August 2018

CSEP Working Group Home Page

Meeting Presentation

The presentation from today's call can be downloaded here.

Minutes

  • Models within an experiement should produce shared outputs
  • Stochastic event sets provide additional value over grid-based forecasts
  • However, stochastic event sets are not complete catalogs which might need to be considered
  • The utility exists in understanding spatial hazard. Not as scientifically interesting, but useful.
  • Might consider adding classic ETAS to the list of initial models to provide important link to CSEP1
  • U3ETAS-NoFault similar to classic ETAS
  • Might consider starting with simpler models than U3ETAS
  • Need to carefully consider handling external forecasts
  • International collaborations are important and we need to work to maintain them.

Proposed Groups

Below are the proposed working groups to help define experiments.

UCERF3 / Fault Based Forecasts

N. Field, M. Page, D. Jackson, and K. Milner

Aftershock Forecasts

A. Michael, J. Hardebeck, M. Page and N. van der Elst