CSEP Results

This entry describes how to request CSEP forecast and evaluation results from the SCEC CSEP testing center.

Organization of SCEC CSEP by Dispatcher Scripts

• California Testing Region (SCEC Natural Laboratory) Forecasts

1. one-day forecasts
2. five-year models
3. one-day models 1985
4. 3-month and 5-year models 1932
5. 1-day 3-month alarm models 1932
6. 30-minute models 1985
7. 30-minute models 1985 T/W tests
8. one-day models synthetic catalogs 1985 Md2.95
9. one-day models not filtered 1932 using Md2
10. California models (not filtered) 1932 using Md2

• NW Pacific Region Forecasts

1. NW Pacific 1-year
2. NW Pacific 1-day

• SW Pacific Region Forecasts

1. SW Pacific 1-year
2. SW Pacific 1-day

• Global Forecasts

1. Global 1-year
2. Global 0.1-degree 1-year
3. Global 0.1Degree 1-year
4. Global 0.1Degree 1-day

• Oceanic Transform Fault Forecasts

1. Oceanic Transform Fault 1-day

SCEC CSEP Forecast and Evaluation Inventory

We have run a script to create an inventory of existing SCEC CSEP forecast and forecast evaluation results, that count the existing CSEP data files by:

• Forecast Groups
• Forecast Types
• Evaluation Result

How to Find Forecasts and Evaluation Test Results in Inventory

• SCEC-natural-laboratory
  • RELM-mainshock-aftershock-hybrid-models-V14.1
  • RELM-mainshock-aftershock-models
  • RELM-mainshock-aftershock-models-corrected
  • RELM-mainshock-models
  • RELM-mainshock-models-corrected
  • USGS-five-year-models
  • USGS-five-year-models-1967
  • USGS-five-year-models-2006
  • USGS-five-year-retrospective-Jan.2013
  • five-year-alarm-models
  • five-year-alarm-models-V9.10
  • five-year-models-Md2-V13.1
  • five-year-models-V13.1
  • five-year-rate-models
  • five-year-rate-models-V9.1
  • one-day-alarm-models-V10.10
  • one-day-alarm-models-V9.10
  • one-day-models
  • one-day-models-Bayesian-V12.7
  • one-day-models-Bayesian-V9.1
  • one-day-models-Md2-Bayesian-V12.10
  • one-day-models-Md2-V12.10
  • Additional Forecast Groups in Data Inventory
  • three-months-models-V9.4

• SWPacific
  • one-day-alarm-models-V10.1
  • one-day-alarm-models-V10.10
  • one-day-models
  • one-year-alarm-models

• NWPacific
  • one-day-alarm-models-V10.1
  • one-day-alarm-models-V10.10
  • one-day-models
  • one-year-alarm-models

• Global
  • one-day-alarm-models-V10.1
  • one-day-alarm-models-V10.10
  • one-day-models-V14.4
  • one-day-models-V9.7
  • one-year-alarm-models
  • one-year-models

• OceanicTransformFaults
  • one-day-models-V12.1

CSEP Forecasts Differ by Forecast Group

• Some forecast groups include forecast:
  • e.g. one-year-models-V13.1
    • Forecast: JANUSOneYearTV - 1
    • Forecast: JANUSOneYearEEPAS1F - 1
    • Forecast: CONANOneYearMd3 - 1
    • Forecast: JANUSOneYear - 1
    • Forecast: JANUSOneYearPPE - 1

• Not all Forecast Groups include Forecast Files. Some forecast groups run only forecast evaluation tests:
  • RELM-mainshock-aftershock-hybrid-models-V14.1
    • This forecast group evaluate forecasts made in rom other groups

Evaluation Test Result Types

• Evaluation Tests Types Include: ['N', 'L', 'CL', 'M', 'S', 'ROC', 'MASS', 'LW', 'RP', 'RD', 'RT', 'RTT', 'T', 'W']

CSEP Forecast and Evaluation Test Results Inventory

• CSEP Data Inventory

Data Request Format

• Email request to software@scec.org

In Data request email, specify the following:

• Testing Region
• Forecast Group Name
• Start Date of Interest
• End Date of Interest
• Forecast Type of Interest
• Evaluation Test Result of Interest

Related Entries

• SCEC CSEP Web Site
• CSEP Results Viewer (Selected CSEP Results Posted)