Product Backlog - William

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William Savran's Project/Product Backlog

Project/Product Backlog

  1. research and develop new techniques for the rigorous statistical evaluation of stochastic event sets
  2. provide scripts to reprocessing missing forecasts/evaluations identified from csep_db
  3. distribute collection of open-source scripts to provide other testing centers provide access to their centers to identify gaps in forecasting
  4. provide open source codes for CSEP1 evaluations to begin modularizing current CSEP1 codebase
  5. recompute incomplete/missing prospective SCEC forecasts and evaluations for forecast period and make available to CSEP researchers
  6. produce a list containing status of all SCEC forecasts and evaluations for one-day forecasts to identify targets for reprocessing
  7. create "complete" csep1 data set with persistent object identifier and provide to the community
  8. investigate Harvard method to associate seismicity to known faults and determine the applicability for the U3ETAS.

Detritus

  • address SVN issue with localhost path to SVN server on csep-debug
  • run forecast for global region on csep-debug to check how year breaks function
    • run for 2007
    • run for 2018
  • brainstorm 5 year plans for CSEP2
  • create scripts to find forecasts in data archives
  • investigate how SVN works with EQ catalogs
    • how do we query SVN for previous years using tags

CSEP 5 Year Plan

Immediate

  • Fix NZ STEP models. Target date: 1 March 2018.
  • Verify CSEP results and data streams. Target date: 15 March 2018.
  • Upgrade NZ CSEP version. Target date: 15 March 2018.
  • Identify dependencies between NZ forecast groups. Target date: 15 March 2018.
  • Identify dependencies between SCEC forecast groups. Target date: 15 March 2018.

Near

  • Parallelise reprocessing. Target date: 15 April 2018.
  • Complete reprocessing NZ and SCEC. Target date: 15 May 2018.
  • Provide access tools to curated CSEP1.0 dataset. Target date: 1 June 2018.

Far

  • Prototype (reprocessing) ensemble methods. Target date: 1 July 2018
  • Process ensemble models in NZ and SCEC. Target date: 1 August 2018
  • Publish results. Target submission date: 1 September 2018.
  • Publish results. Target date: 1 November 2018

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