Difference between revisions of "Study 15.12 Data Products"
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| [[File:CS_Map_0.5s_Study_15_12.png|400px|thumb|left|0.5 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites]] | | [[File:CS_Map_0.5s_Study_15_12.png|400px|thumb|left|0.5 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites]] | ||
| [[File:CS_Map_0.5s_Study_15_12_marks.png|400px|thumb|left|0.5 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites, marked]] | | [[File:CS_Map_0.5s_Study_15_12_marks.png|400px|thumb|left|0.5 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites, marked]] | ||
− | | [[File:2008_NGA_Basemap_0.5s.png|400px|thumb|0. | + | | [[File:2008_NGA_Basemap_0.5s.png|400px|thumb|0.5 sec 2008 NGA basemap]] |
|- | |- | ||
! 1 sec geometric mean | ! 1 sec geometric mean | ||
| [[File:CS_Map_1s_Study_15_12.png|400px|thumb|left|1 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites]] | | [[File:CS_Map_1s_Study_15_12.png|400px|thumb|left|1 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites]] | ||
| [[File:CS_Map_1s_Study_15_12_marks.png|400px|thumb|left|1 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites, marked]] | | [[File:CS_Map_1s_Study_15_12_marks.png|400px|thumb|left|1 sec geometric mean hazard map, all sites, marked]] | ||
− | | [[File:2008_NGA_Basemap_1s.png|400px|thumb| | + | | [[File:2008_NGA_Basemap_1s.png|400px|thumb|1 sec 2008 NGA basemap]] |
|- | |- | ||
! 2 sec geometric mean | ! 2 sec geometric mean | ||
Line 66: | Line 66: | ||
=== NGA-2 curve comparisons === | === NGA-2 curve comparisons === | ||
− | We replotted the curves using NGA-2s (instead of NGA-1) for comparison, and RotD50 | + | We replotted the curves using NGA-2s (instead of NGA-1) for comparison, and RotD50. |
{| | {| | ||
Line 95: | Line 95: | ||
=== Changing RVSIG === | === Changing RVSIG === | ||
− | |||
We reran PAS using rvsig1 = 0.1; comparison curves are below. | We reran PAS using rvsig1 = 0.1; comparison curves are below. | ||
Line 101: | Line 100: | ||
| [[File:PAS_Run4667_v_4282_0.5sec_GEOM.png|400px|thumb|left|Blue: rvsig1=0.1, black: rvisg1=-1.0]] | | [[File:PAS_Run4667_v_4282_0.5sec_GEOM.png|400px|thumb|left|Blue: rvsig1=0.1, black: rvisg1=-1.0]] | ||
| [[File:PAS_Run4667_v_4282_0.2sec_GEOM.png|400px|thumb|left|Blue: rvsig1=0.1, black: rvisg1=-1.0]] | | [[File:PAS_Run4667_v_4282_0.2sec_GEOM.png|400px|thumb|left|Blue: rvsig1=0.1, black: rvisg1=-1.0]] | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | === Disaggregations === | ||
+ | |||
+ | We did disaggregations for CyberShake and the 4 NGA-2s at 3 sigma at 0.5 sec and 0.2 sec, at prob=1e-4. Below are images for each, along with the top 5 contributing sources: | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| border=1 | ||
+ | ! Data Source | ||
+ | ! 0.5 sec value at prob=4e-4 | ||
+ | ! 0.5 sec plot | ||
+ | ! 0.5 sec contributors | ||
+ | ! 0.2 sec value at prob=4e-4 | ||
+ | ! 0.2 sec plot | ||
+ | ! 0.2 sec contributors | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | ! CyberShake | ||
+ | | 1.08g | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.5sec_CyberShake.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | | 47.0% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>23.4% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>12.5% Raymond (source 247)<br/>10.6% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)<br/>5.9% Puente Hills (source 242) | ||
+ | | 1.35g | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.2sec_CyberShake.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | | 30.8% Verdugo (source 238)<br/>30.7% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>22.1% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)<br/>11.1% Puente Hills (source 242)<br/>4.9% Raymond (source 247) | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | ! ASK2014 | ||
+ | | 1.24g | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.5sec_ASK2014.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | | 28.7% Raymond (source 247)<br/>17.0% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>14.3% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>7.2% Hollywood (source 184)<br/>7.0% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244) | ||
+ | | 2.81g | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.2sec_ASK2014.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | | 30.3% Raymond (source 247)<br/>19.4% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>15.1% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>7.6% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)<br/>7.1% Hollywood (source 184) | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | ! BSSA2014 | ||
+ | | 1.51g | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.5sec_BSSA2014.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | | 30.5% Raymond (source 247)<br/>25.4% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>9.4% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>7.0% Puente Hills (Santa Fe Springs) (source 245)<br/>7.0% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244) | ||
+ | | 2.48g | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.2sec_BSSA2014.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | | 32.1% Raymond (source 247)<br/>26.9% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>9.1% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>7.7% Puente Hills (Santa Fe Springs) (source 245)<br/>6.6% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244) | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | ! CB2014 | ||
+ | | 1.59g | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.5sec_CB2014.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | | 33.6% Raymond (source 247)<br/>21.0% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>11.2% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>8.0% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)<br/>7.7% Hollywood (source 184) | ||
+ | | 2.78g | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.2sec_CB2014.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | | 32.1% Raymond (source 247)<br/>24.1% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>9.9% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>8.8% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)<br/>7.8% Hollywood (source 184) | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | ! CY2014 | ||
+ | | 1.65g | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.5sec_CY2014.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | | 33.5% Raymond (source 247)<br/>20.4% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>12.8% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>8.3% Sierra Madre Connected (source 273)<br/>7.2% Sierra Madre (source 271) | ||
+ | | 2.66g | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_Run4282_Disagg_4e-4_0.2sec_CY2014.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | | 31.8% Raymond (source 247)<br/>18.6% Verdugo (source 283)<br/>15.5% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158)<br/>7.1% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244)<br/>7.0% Sierra Madre Connected (source 273) | ||
+ | |} | ||
+ | |||
+ | We then plotted the CyberShake actual and GMPE log-normal ground motion PDFs for ruptures on the Raymond fault which dominates the hazard at short periods for this site. Plots are included for the mean magnitude rupture (M6.55) and the max magnitude rupture (M7.05). The CyberShake actual distribution is plotted in gray, and the GMPE log-normal distributions are in pastels. Vertical lines show mean values. | ||
+ | |||
+ | {| border=1 | ||
+ | ! Rupture | ||
+ | ! 0.2 sec | ||
+ | ! 0.5 sec | ||
+ | ! 2 sec | ||
+ | ! 5 sec | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | ! Raymond M6.55 | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_247_Raymond_rup6_0.2s_RotD50.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_247_Raymond_rup6_0.5s_RotD50.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_247_Raymond_rup6_2s_RotD50.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_247_Raymond_rup6_5s_RotD50.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | |- | ||
+ | ! Raymond M7.05 | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_247_Raymond_rup11_0.2s_RotD50.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_247_Raymond_rup11_0.5s_RotD50.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_247_Raymond_rup11_2s_RotD50.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
+ | | [[File:PAS_247_Raymond_rup11_5s_RotD50.png|300px|thumb|left]] | ||
|} | |} |
Latest revision as of 16:10, 22 September 2016
Contents
Hazard Maps
Below are hazard maps from Study 15.12 (150 ppi).
Basic Maps
0.2 sec geometric mean | |||
---|---|---|---|
0.5 sec geometric mean | |||
1 sec geometric mean | |||
2 sec geometric mean | |||
3 sec geometric mean | |||
5 sec geometric mean | |||
10 sec geometric mean |
Comparison Maps
2 sec | 3 sec | 5 sec | 10 sec | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Difference | ||||
Ratio |
Comparison with NGA results
We would expect the stochastic results to show reasonably good agreement with the deterministic results, but they do not. Here are some data products to investigate this. We've chosen 3 sites with large differences (MRVY, s028, LAPD) and 2 we're familiar with (PAS, USC).
NGA-2 curve comparisons
We replotted the curves using NGA-2s (instead of NGA-1) for comparison, and RotD50.
Site | 0.5 sec | 0.2 sec |
---|---|---|
USC | ||
PAS | ||
MRVY | ||
s028 | ||
LAPD |
Changing RVSIG
We reran PAS using rvsig1 = 0.1; comparison curves are below.
Disaggregations
We did disaggregations for CyberShake and the 4 NGA-2s at 3 sigma at 0.5 sec and 0.2 sec, at prob=1e-4. Below are images for each, along with the top 5 contributing sources:
Data Source | 0.5 sec value at prob=4e-4 | 0.5 sec plot | 0.5 sec contributors | 0.2 sec value at prob=4e-4 | 0.2 sec plot | 0.2 sec contributors |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CyberShake | 1.08g | 47.0% Verdugo (source 283) 23.4% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158) 12.5% Raymond (source 247) 10.6% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244) 5.9% Puente Hills (source 242) |
1.35g | 30.8% Verdugo (source 238) 30.7% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158) 22.1% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244) 11.1% Puente Hills (source 242) 4.9% Raymond (source 247) | ||
ASK2014 | 1.24g | 28.7% Raymond (source 247) 17.0% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158) 14.3% Verdugo (source 283) 7.2% Hollywood (source 184) 7.0% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244) |
2.81g | 30.3% Raymond (source 247) 19.4% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158) 15.1% Verdugo (source 283) 7.6% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244) 7.1% Hollywood (source 184) | ||
BSSA2014 | 1.51g | 30.5% Raymond (source 247) 25.4% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158) 9.4% Verdugo (source 283) 7.0% Puente Hills (Santa Fe Springs) (source 245) 7.0% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244) |
2.48g | 32.1% Raymond (source 247) 26.9% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158) 9.1% Verdugo (source 283) 7.7% Puente Hills (Santa Fe Springs) (source 245) 6.6% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244) | ||
CB2014 | 1.59g | 33.6% Raymond (source 247) 21.0% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158) 11.2% Verdugo (source 283) 8.0% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244) 7.7% Hollywood (source 184) |
2.78g | 32.1% Raymond (source 247) 24.1% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158) 9.9% Verdugo (source 283) 8.8% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244) 7.8% Hollywood (source 184) | ||
CY2014 | 1.65g | 33.5% Raymond (source 247) 20.4% Verdugo (source 283) 12.8% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158) 8.3% Sierra Madre Connected (source 273) 7.2% Sierra Madre (source 271) |
2.66g | 31.8% Raymond (source 247) 18.6% Verdugo (source 283) 15.5% Elysian Park (Upper) (source 158) 7.1% Puente Hills (LA) (source 244) 7.0% Sierra Madre Connected (source 273) |
We then plotted the CyberShake actual and GMPE log-normal ground motion PDFs for ruptures on the Raymond fault which dominates the hazard at short periods for this site. Plots are included for the mean magnitude rupture (M6.55) and the max magnitude rupture (M7.05). The CyberShake actual distribution is plotted in gray, and the GMPE log-normal distributions are in pastels. Vertical lines show mean values.
Rupture | 0.2 sec | 0.5 sec | 2 sec | 5 sec |
---|---|---|---|---|
Raymond M6.55 | ||||
Raymond M7.05 |