CSEP 5yr Plan

CSEP Working Group Home Page

2018-2020

• Curate CSEP1.0 datasets (SCEC and NZ) for scientific publications (IT). Target date: 1 June 2018. Responsible: Bill, Fabio, Phil, Max, David R.
  • Verify CSEP results and data streams. Target date: 15 March 2018. Responsible: Phil, Max, Bill, David R.
  • Fix NZ STEP models. Target date: 1 March 2018. Responsible: Matt, Fabio, Bill, David R.
  • Upgrade NZ CSEP version. Target date: 15 March 2018. Responsible: Bill, John Yu, David R.,
  • Identify dependencies between NZ forecast groups. Target date: 15 March 2018. Responsible: Fabio, Bill, Max, David R.
  • Identify dependencies between SCEC forecast groups. Target date: 15 March 2018. Responsible: Fabio, Bill, Max, Phil.
  • Parallelise reprocessing. Target date: 15 April 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil, Fabio, John Yu, Max.
  • Complete reprocessing NZ and SCEC. Target date: 15 May 2018. Responsible: Bill, Fabio, Phil, Max, David R.
  • Provide access tools to curated CSEP1.0 dataset. Target date: 1 June 2018. Responsible: Phil, Bill, Fabio, John Yu.
  • Publish results. Target submission date: 1 September 2018. Responsible: Max, David R, Bill.

• Ensemble modelling of CSEP1.0 (IT). Target date: 1 November 2018. Responsible: Bill, Warner, David R, Tom, Max.
  • Identify prioritised ensemble methods for CSEP1.0. Target date: 15 March 2018. Responsible: Warner, David R, Tom, Matteo.
  • Provide (reprocessing) blueprint code to CSEP IT. Target date: 15 May 2018. Responsible: Warner, David R, Matteo, Max.
  • Prototype (reprocessing) ensemble methods. Target date: 1 July 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil, Max.
  • Process ensemble models in NZ and SCEC. Target date: 1 August 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil, Max.
  • Provide access tools to curate ensemble modelling results of CSEP1.0. Target date: 1 September 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil.
  • Publish results. Target date: 1 November 2018. Responsible: Warner, David R., Tom, Max.

• Prototype evaluation methods for simulation-based forecasts (science). Target date: 1 December 2018. Responsible: David R, Warner, Morgan, Nicholas, Ned, Max, Bill.
  • Develop conceptual approaches to evaluating forecasts specified as simulated catalogs. Target date: 1 June 2018. Responsible: Morgan, Nicholas, David R, Warner, all.
  • Reach community consensus on prioritised list of evaluation methods. Target date: 1 July 2018. Responsible: all.
  • Provide sw blueprints to CSEP IT. Target date: 1 August 2018. Responsible: David R, Warner, Morgan, Ned, Max.
  • Prototype

• Prototype evaluation methods for finite-rupture forecasts on faults (science). Target date: 15 December 2018. Responsible: David J, Max, Tom, David R, Warner, Ned, Morgan, Nicholas, Andy...
  • Develop scientific approaches to evaluating forecasts of finite-ruptures on faults. Target date: 15 June 2018. Responsible: David J, Max, Tom, David R, Warner, Ned, Morgan, Nicholas, Andy.
  • Assess data sources for prospective testing. Target date: 15 June 2018. Responsible: David J, Max, Tom, David R, Warner, Ned, Morgan, Nicholas, Andy...
  • Reach community consensus on approach. Target date: 15 September 2018. Responsible: All.
  • Develop blueprints for CSEP IT. Target date: 1 November 2018. Responsible: David J, Max, Bill, others.
  • Prototype CSEP sw. Target date: 15 December 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil, Max.