Difference between revisions of "CSEP 5yr Plan"

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[[CSEP_Working_Group|CSEP Working Group Home Page]]<br><br>
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[[CSEP_Working_Group|CSEP Working Group Home Page]]<br>
  
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<strong>2018-2020</strong>
  
This page is a CSEP group editable work space to develop a 5-yr plan (2018-2022).
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* Curate CSEP1.0 datasets (SCEC and NZ) for scientific publications (IT). Target date: 1 June 2018. Responsible: Bill, Fabio, Phil, Max, David R.  
 
 
 
 
<strong>2018:</strong>
 
 
 
* Curate CSEP1.0 datasets (SCEC and NZ) for scientific publications (IT). Target date: 1 June 2018. Responsible: Bill Savran, Fabio Silva, Phil Maechling, Max Werner, David Rhoades.  
 
 
** Verify CSEP results and data streams. Target date: 15 March 2018. Responsible: Phil, Max, Bill, David R.  
 
** Verify CSEP results and data streams. Target date: 15 March 2018. Responsible: Phil, Max, Bill, David R.  
 
** Fix NZ STEP models. Target date: 1 March 2018. Responsible: Matt, Fabio, Bill, David R.
 
** Fix NZ STEP models. Target date: 1 March 2018. Responsible: Matt, Fabio, Bill, David R.
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** Publish results. Target submission date: 1 September 2018. Responsible: Max, David R, Bill.  
 
** Publish results. Target submission date: 1 September 2018. Responsible: Max, David R, Bill.  
  
* Ensemble modelling of CSEP1.0 (IT). Target date: 1 October 2018. Responsible: Bill, Warner, David R, Tom, Max.  
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* Ensemble modelling of CSEP1.0 (IT). Target date: 1 November 2018. Responsible: Bill, Warner, David R, Tom, Max.  
** Identify prioritised ensemble methods for CSEP1.0. Target date: 1 April 2018. Responsible: Warner, David R, Tom, Matteo.  
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** Identify prioritised ensemble methods for CSEP1.0. Target date: 15 March 2018. Responsible: Warner, David R, Tom, Matteo.  
** Provide (reprocessing) blueprint code to CSEP IT. Target date: 1 May 2018. Responsible: Warner, David R, Matteo, Max.
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** Provide (reprocessing) blueprint code to CSEP IT. Target date: 15 May 2018. Responsible: Warner, David R, Matteo, Max.
 
** Prototype (reprocessing) ensemble methods. Target date: 1 July 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil, Max.  
 
** Prototype (reprocessing) ensemble methods. Target date: 1 July 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil, Max.  
 
** Process ensemble models in NZ and SCEC. Target date: 1 August 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil, Max.
 
** Process ensemble models in NZ and SCEC. Target date: 1 August 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil, Max.
 
** Provide access tools to curate ensemble modelling results of CSEP1.0. Target date: 1 September 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil.  
 
** Provide access tools to curate ensemble modelling results of CSEP1.0. Target date: 1 September 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil.  
** Publish results. Target date: 1 October 2018. Responsible: Warner, David R., Tom, Max.  
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** Publish results. Target date: 1 November 2018. Responsible: Warner, David R., Tom, Max.  
 
 
* Prototype evaluation methods for finite-rupture forecasts on faults (science). Target date: 1 December 2018. Responsible: David J, Max, Tom, David R, Warner, Ned, Morgan, Nicholas, Andy...
 
** Develop scientific approaches to evaluating forecasts of finite-ruptures on faults. Target date: 1 June 2018. Responsible: David J, Max, Tom, David R, Warner, Ned, Morgan, Nicholas, Andy.
 
** Assess data sources for prospective testing. Target date: 1 June 2018. Responsible: David J, Max, Tom, David R, Warner, Ned, Morgan, Nicholas, Andy...
 
** Reach community consensus on approach. Target date: 1 July 2018. Responsible: All.
 
** Provide blueprints to CSEP IT. Target date: 1 October 2018. Responsible: Max, David J, Bill, Tom, Andy...
 
** Prototype CSEP sw. Target date: 1 December 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil, Max.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
<strong>2019:</strong>
 
*
 
 
 
 
 
<strong>2020:</strong>
 
 
 
 
 
<strong>2021:</strong>
 
  
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* Prototype evaluation methods for simulation-based forecasts (science). Target date: 1 December 2018. Responsible: David R, Warner, Morgan, Nicholas, Ned, Max, Bill. 
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** Develop conceptual approaches to evaluating forecasts specified as simulated catalogs. Target date: 1 June 2018. Responsible: Morgan, Nicholas, David R, Warner, all.
 +
** Reach community consensus on prioritised list of evaluation methods. Target date: 1 July 2018. Responsible: all.
 +
** Provide sw blueprints to CSEP IT. Target date: 1 August 2018. Responsible: David R, Warner, Morgan, Ned, Max.
 +
** Prototype
  
<strong>2022:</strong>
+
* Prototype evaluation methods for finite-rupture forecasts on faults (science). Target date: 15 December 2018. Responsible: David J, Max, Tom, David R, Warner, Ned, Morgan, Nicholas, Andy...
 +
** Develop scientific approaches to evaluating forecasts of finite-ruptures on faults. Target date: 15 June 2018. Responsible: David J, Max, Tom, David R, Warner, Ned, Morgan, Nicholas, Andy.
 +
** Assess data sources for prospective testing. Target date: 15 June 2018. Responsible: David J, Max, Tom, David R, Warner, Ned, Morgan, Nicholas, Andy...
 +
** Reach community consensus on approach. Target date: 15 September 2018. Responsible: All.
 +
** Develop blueprints for CSEP IT. Target date: 1 November 2018. Responsible: David J, Max, Bill, others.
 +
** Prototype CSEP sw. Target date: 15 December 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil, Max.

Latest revision as of 03:55, 25 February 2020

CSEP Working Group Home Page

2018-2020

  • Curate CSEP1.0 datasets (SCEC and NZ) for scientific publications (IT). Target date: 1 June 2018. Responsible: Bill, Fabio, Phil, Max, David R.
    • Verify CSEP results and data streams. Target date: 15 March 2018. Responsible: Phil, Max, Bill, David R.
    • Fix NZ STEP models. Target date: 1 March 2018. Responsible: Matt, Fabio, Bill, David R.
    • Upgrade NZ CSEP version. Target date: 15 March 2018. Responsible: Bill, John Yu, David R.,
    • Identify dependencies between NZ forecast groups. Target date: 15 March 2018. Responsible: Fabio, Bill, Max, David R.
    • Identify dependencies between SCEC forecast groups. Target date: 15 March 2018. Responsible: Fabio, Bill, Max, Phil.
    • Parallelise reprocessing. Target date: 15 April 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil, Fabio, John Yu, Max.
    • Complete reprocessing NZ and SCEC. Target date: 15 May 2018. Responsible: Bill, Fabio, Phil, Max, David R.
    • Provide access tools to curated CSEP1.0 dataset. Target date: 1 June 2018. Responsible: Phil, Bill, Fabio, John Yu.
    • Publish results. Target submission date: 1 September 2018. Responsible: Max, David R, Bill.
  • Ensemble modelling of CSEP1.0 (IT). Target date: 1 November 2018. Responsible: Bill, Warner, David R, Tom, Max.
    • Identify prioritised ensemble methods for CSEP1.0. Target date: 15 March 2018. Responsible: Warner, David R, Tom, Matteo.
    • Provide (reprocessing) blueprint code to CSEP IT. Target date: 15 May 2018. Responsible: Warner, David R, Matteo, Max.
    • Prototype (reprocessing) ensemble methods. Target date: 1 July 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil, Max.
    • Process ensemble models in NZ and SCEC. Target date: 1 August 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil, Max.
    • Provide access tools to curate ensemble modelling results of CSEP1.0. Target date: 1 September 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil.
    • Publish results. Target date: 1 November 2018. Responsible: Warner, David R., Tom, Max.
  • Prototype evaluation methods for simulation-based forecasts (science). Target date: 1 December 2018. Responsible: David R, Warner, Morgan, Nicholas, Ned, Max, Bill.
    • Develop conceptual approaches to evaluating forecasts specified as simulated catalogs. Target date: 1 June 2018. Responsible: Morgan, Nicholas, David R, Warner, all.
    • Reach community consensus on prioritised list of evaluation methods. Target date: 1 July 2018. Responsible: all.
    • Provide sw blueprints to CSEP IT. Target date: 1 August 2018. Responsible: David R, Warner, Morgan, Ned, Max.
    • Prototype
  • Prototype evaluation methods for finite-rupture forecasts on faults (science). Target date: 15 December 2018. Responsible: David J, Max, Tom, David R, Warner, Ned, Morgan, Nicholas, Andy...
    • Develop scientific approaches to evaluating forecasts of finite-ruptures on faults. Target date: 15 June 2018. Responsible: David J, Max, Tom, David R, Warner, Ned, Morgan, Nicholas, Andy.
    • Assess data sources for prospective testing. Target date: 15 June 2018. Responsible: David J, Max, Tom, David R, Warner, Ned, Morgan, Nicholas, Andy...
    • Reach community consensus on approach. Target date: 15 September 2018. Responsible: All.
    • Develop blueprints for CSEP IT. Target date: 1 November 2018. Responsible: David J, Max, Bill, others.
    • Prototype CSEP sw. Target date: 15 December 2018. Responsible: Bill, Phil, Max.