Difference between revisions of "Forecast Data"

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*[https://molssi.org/ Software Institute]
 
*[https://molssi.org/ Software Institute]
 
*[https://www.nsf.gov/geo/geo-ci/index.jsp NSF Geoscience opportunities]
 
*[https://www.nsf.gov/geo/geo-ci/index.jsp NSF Geoscience opportunities]
 +
*[https://www.tulane.edu/~sanelson/Natural_Disasters/introduction.htm Geohazard Overview]
  
 
==Forecast User Base Estimates ==
 
==Forecast User Base Estimates ==

Revision as of 17:15, 8 December 2020

Links to existing SCEC Forecast Data Distribution Methods:

Forecast Data Descriptions

Forecast Data Listings

ETAS Simulation Data:

UCERF Project Data:

CSEP Project Data:

Ground Motion Simulation Project Data:

Event Response Data:

Data Sharing Methods

Related Projects

Forecast User Base Estimates

  • We have these estimates of the user base for products that come out of CISM and CSEP. And how those numbers are documented. UCERF3-ETAS: 5-10 people currently look at raw simulation results. If we create a full operational system, it would potentially have broad user base, but it's currently in a research mode and only shared with interested and sophisticated users.
  • UCERF3+ Inversions: The inversion results will be looked at by the core WGCEP team and shared with the scientific review panel, so probably 5-10 diving in and looking at detailed results, ~30 looking at summary plots. The New Zealand team would likely be interested in these capabilities as well, which could double the user base.RSQSim: Likely always a small group, <10 looking at RSQSim results and downstream products (ground motion simulations)
  • With the RISE experiment gearing up and many new modelers looking to get their models tested, and assuming that UCERF3/4 goes under prospective testing I expect between 20-30 people will be interested in looking at individual forecast and evaluation results. An additional ~10 would be interested in looking at aggregate results, such as the cumulative tests (ie., types of results that could be a publication figure), but I don’t have a good handle on those numbers. Like with the UCERF3 results, the potential user base would probably increase depending on the availability of the data products and simulations results.

NSF MRI-1 Solicitation Site

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