Difference between revisions of "Forecast Data"
From SCECpedia
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Links to existing SCEC Forecast Data Distribution Methods: | Links to existing SCEC Forecast Data Distribution Methods: | ||
| − | == Data Descriptions == | + | == Forecast Data Descriptions == |
*[https://docs.google.com/document/d/1QOaKwQUhTIaqOTYf3khTGYZ_uhQHKgKAM0RmWHCL7_Y/edit?usp=sharing CyberShake Data] | *[https://docs.google.com/document/d/1QOaKwQUhTIaqOTYf3khTGYZ_uhQHKgKAM0RmWHCL7_Y/edit?usp=sharing CyberShake Data] | ||
*[https://docs.google.com/document/d/1UrStYKHjlSruJjIKJjVKAs5sUXH_Oebg-nchqgsYXtI/edit?usp=sharing UCERF3/ETAS/RSQSim Data] | *[https://docs.google.com/document/d/1UrStYKHjlSruJjIKJjVKAs5sUXH_Oebg-nchqgsYXtI/edit?usp=sharing UCERF3/ETAS/RSQSim Data] | ||
*[https://docs.google.com/document/d/1yhU547vfwdxAOjB1JFPWwySCgaqo6Gy21-0HFpUVYhU/edit?usp=sharing CSEP Data Description] | *[https://docs.google.com/document/d/1yhU547vfwdxAOjB1JFPWwySCgaqo6Gy21-0HFpUVYhU/edit?usp=sharing CSEP Data Description] | ||
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== Forecast Data Listings == | == Forecast Data Listings == | ||
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ETAS Simulation Data: | ETAS Simulation Data: | ||
*[http://opensha.usc.edu/ftp/kmilner/markdown/ucerf3-etas-results/ OpenSHA ETAS] | *[http://opensha.usc.edu/ftp/kmilner/markdown/ucerf3-etas-results/ OpenSHA ETAS] | ||
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*[https://www.nationalacademies.org/our-work/workshop-on-earth-system-predictability-research-and-development?mc_cid=ee3aec7d1e&mc_eid=d681e220be#sectionWebFriendly Predictability Workshop Report] | *[https://www.nationalacademies.org/our-work/workshop-on-earth-system-predictability-research-and-development?mc_cid=ee3aec7d1e&mc_eid=d681e220be#sectionWebFriendly Predictability Workshop Report] | ||
*[https://www.usgs.gov/about/organization/science-support/office-science-quality-and-integrity/fundamental-science-practices USGS Fundamental Practices] | *[https://www.usgs.gov/about/organization/science-support/office-science-quality-and-integrity/fundamental-science-practices USGS Fundamental Practices] | ||
| + | *[https://www.exascaleproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/HPCBP-slides-201104.pdf DOE Containers for Software Reproduciblity Webinar] | ||
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| + | ==Forecast User Base Estimates == | ||
| + | *We have these estimates of the user base for products that come out of CISM and CSEP. And how those numbers are documented. UCERF3-ETAS: 5-10 people currently look at raw simulation results. If we create a full operational system, it would potentially have broad user base, but it's currently in a research mode and only shared with interested and sophisticated users. | ||
| + | *UCERF3+ Inversions: The inversion results will be looked at by the core WGCEP team and shared with the scientific review panel, so probably 5-10 diving in and looking at detailed results, ~30 looking at summary plots. The New Zealand team would likely be interested in these capabilities as well, which could double the user base.RSQSim: Likely always a small group, <10 looking at RSQSim results and downstream products (ground motion simulations) | ||
| + | *With the RISE experiment gearing up and many new modelers looking to get their models tested, and assuming that UCERF3/4 goes under prospective testing I expect between 20-30 people will be interested in looking at individual forecast and evaluation results. An additional ~10 would be interested in looking at aggregate results, such as the cumulative tests (ie., types of results that could be a publication figure), but I don’t have a good handle on those numbers. Like with the UCERF3 results, the potential user base would probably increase depending on the availability of the data products and simulations results. | ||
== NSF MRI-1 Solicitation Site == | == NSF MRI-1 Solicitation Site == | ||
Revision as of 09:05, 7 December 2020
Links to existing SCEC Forecast Data Distribution Methods:
Contents
Forecast Data Descriptions
Forecast Data Listings
ETAS Simulation Data:
UCERF Project Data:
CSEP Project Data:
Ground Motion Simulation Project Data:
- High-F Results
- UGMS User Community
- Engineer Oriented Data Distribution Site
- GIS-based interface to Hazard Maps
Event Response Data:
USGS Data Sharing Methods
- Predictability Workshop Report
- USGS Fundamental Practices
- DOE Containers for Software Reproduciblity Webinar
Forecast User Base Estimates
- We have these estimates of the user base for products that come out of CISM and CSEP. And how those numbers are documented. UCERF3-ETAS: 5-10 people currently look at raw simulation results. If we create a full operational system, it would potentially have broad user base, but it's currently in a research mode and only shared with interested and sophisticated users.
- UCERF3+ Inversions: The inversion results will be looked at by the core WGCEP team and shared with the scientific review panel, so probably 5-10 diving in and looking at detailed results, ~30 looking at summary plots. The New Zealand team would likely be interested in these capabilities as well, which could double the user base.RSQSim: Likely always a small group, <10 looking at RSQSim results and downstream products (ground motion simulations)
- With the RISE experiment gearing up and many new modelers looking to get their models tested, and assuming that UCERF3/4 goes under prospective testing I expect between 20-30 people will be interested in looking at individual forecast and evaluation results. An additional ~10 would be interested in looking at aggregate results, such as the cumulative tests (ie., types of results that could be a publication figure), but I don’t have a good handle on those numbers. Like with the UCERF3 results, the potential user base would probably increase depending on the availability of the data products and simulations results.
