Difference between revisions of "Forecast Data"

Revision as of 04:41, 9 December 2020

Links to existing SCEC Forecast Data Distribution Methods:

ETAS Simulation Data:

UCERF Project Data:

CSEP Project Data:

Ground Motion Simulation Project Data:

Event Response Data:

Broadband Platform Data:

Data Discovery CI:

Reproducibility Projects:

Trustworthy Computing Projects:

Software Institute

Time Series Forecasting Service

We have these estimates of the user base for products that come out of CISM and CSEP. And how those numbers are documented. UCERF3-ETAS: 5-10 people currently look at raw simulation results. If we create a full operational system, it would potentially have broad user base, but it's currently in a research mode and only shared with interested and sophisticated users.
UCERF3+ Inversions: The inversion results will be looked at by the core WGCEP team and shared with the scientific review panel, so probably 5-10 diving in and looking at detailed results, ~30 looking at summary plots. The New Zealand team would likely be interested in these capabilities as well, which could double the user base.RSQSim: Likely always a small group, <10 looking at RSQSim results and downstream products (ground motion simulations)
With the RISE experiment gearing up and many new modelers looking to get their models tested, and assuming that UCERF3/4 goes under prospective testing I expect between 20-30 people will be interested in looking at individual forecast and evaluation results. An additional ~10 would be interested in looking at aggregate results, such as the cumulative tests (ie., types of results that could be a publication figure), but I don’t have a good handle on those numbers. Like with the UCERF3 results, the potential user base would probably increase depending on the availability of the data products and simulations results.

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 == NSF Solicitations Site ==
-*[https://www.nsf.gov/pubs/2021/nsf21505/nsf21505.htm Solicitation]
+*[https://www.nsf.gov/pubs/2021/nsf21537/nsf21537.htm id-scale Research Infrastructure - 2 Solicitation]
+*[https://www.nsf.gov/pubs/2021/nsf21505/nsf21505.htm Mid-scale Research Infrastructure - 1 Solicitation]
 *[https://www.nsf.gov/geo/geo-ci/index.jsp NSF Geoscience opportunities]
-*[https://www.iris.edu/hq/initiatives/rapid_response Mid-scale Research Infrastructure - 1]
 *[https://www.nsf.gov/cise/harnessingdata/ HarnessingDataRevolution]
 *[https://www.nsf.gov/pubs/2020/nsf20091/nsf20091.jsp NSF CISE DCL Big Ideas]
+*[https://www.iris.edu/hq/initiatives/rapid_response Rapid Response Projects]
 == Related Entries ==
 *[[CME_Project]]