Forecast Data

Links to existing SCEC Forecast Data Distribution Methods:

Forecast Data Descriptions

• CyberShake Data
• UCERF3/ETAS/RSQSim Data
• CSEP Data Description

Forecast Data Listings

ETAS Simulation Data:

• OpenSHA ETAS
• Weekly Summary

UCERF Project Data:

• OpenSHA Software
• UCERF3 Distribution
• UCERF3 Website

CSEP Project Data:

• CSEP Project Website

Ground Motion Simulation Project Data:

• High-F Results
• UGMS User Community
• Engineer Oriented Data Distribution Site
• GIS-based interface to Hazard Maps

Event Response Data:

• Event Response Dataset
• Simulation on Demand

Data Sharing Methods

• Predictability Workshop Report
• USGS Fundamental Practices
• DOE ECP IDEAS Talks
• DOE Containers for Software Reproduciblity Webinar

Related Projects

• Deriva Project
• WholeTale Project
• Geohazard Projects
• Mid-scale Research Infrastructure - 1
• forecasts.php?clicked=title Trustworthy Forecast Project
• Software Institute
• NSF Geoscience opportunities

Forecast User Base Estimates

• We have these estimates of the user base for products that come out of CISM and CSEP. And how those numbers are documented. UCERF3-ETAS: 5-10 people currently look at raw simulation results. If we create a full operational system, it would potentially have broad user base, but it's currently in a research mode and only shared with interested and sophisticated users.
• UCERF3+ Inversions: The inversion results will be looked at by the core WGCEP team and shared with the scientific review panel, so probably 5-10 diving in and looking at detailed results, ~30 looking at summary plots. The New Zealand team would likely be interested in these capabilities as well, which could double the user base.RSQSim: Likely always a small group, <10 looking at RSQSim results and downstream products (ground motion simulations)
• With the RISE experiment gearing up and many new modelers looking to get their models tested, and assuming that UCERF3/4 goes under prospective testing I expect between 20-30 people will be interested in looking at individual forecast and evaluation results. An additional ~10 would be interested in looking at aggregate results, such as the cumulative tests (ie., types of results that could be a publication figure), but I don’t have a good handle on those numbers. Like with the UCERF3 results, the potential user base would probably increase depending on the availability of the data products and simulations results.

NSF MRI-1 Solicitation Site

• Solicitation

Related Entries

• CME_Project