Difference between revisions of "Forecast Data"

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*[https://www.nationalacademies.org/our-work/workshop-on-earth-system-predictability-research-and-development?mc_cid=ee3aec7d1e&mc_eid=d681e220be#sectionWebFriendly Predictability Workshop Report]
 
*[https://www.nationalacademies.org/our-work/workshop-on-earth-system-predictability-research-and-development?mc_cid=ee3aec7d1e&mc_eid=d681e220be#sectionWebFriendly Predictability Workshop Report]
 
*[https://www.usgs.gov/about/organization/science-support/office-science-quality-and-integrity/fundamental-science-practices USGS Fundamental Practices]
 
*[https://www.usgs.gov/about/organization/science-support/office-science-quality-and-integrity/fundamental-science-practices USGS Fundamental Practices]
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*[https://www.exascaleproject.org/event/reducingtechnicaldebt DOE ECP IDEAS Talks]
 
*[https://www.exascaleproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/HPCBP-slides-201104.pdf DOE Containers for Software Reproduciblity Webinar]
 
*[https://www.exascaleproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/HPCBP-slides-201104.pdf DOE Containers for Software Reproduciblity Webinar]
  

Revision as of 09:07, 7 December 2020

Links to existing SCEC Forecast Data Distribution Methods:

Forecast Data Descriptions

Forecast Data Listings

ETAS Simulation Data:

UCERF Project Data:

CSEP Project Data:

Ground Motion Simulation Project Data:

Event Response Data:

USGS Data Sharing Methods

Forecast User Base Estimates

  • We have these estimates of the user base for products that come out of CISM and CSEP. And how those numbers are documented. UCERF3-ETAS: 5-10 people currently look at raw simulation results. If we create a full operational system, it would potentially have broad user base, but it's currently in a research mode and only shared with interested and sophisticated users.
  • UCERF3+ Inversions: The inversion results will be looked at by the core WGCEP team and shared with the scientific review panel, so probably 5-10 diving in and looking at detailed results, ~30 looking at summary plots. The New Zealand team would likely be interested in these capabilities as well, which could double the user base.RSQSim: Likely always a small group, <10 looking at RSQSim results and downstream products (ground motion simulations)
  • With the RISE experiment gearing up and many new modelers looking to get their models tested, and assuming that UCERF3/4 goes under prospective testing I expect between 20-30 people will be interested in looking at individual forecast and evaluation results. An additional ~10 would be interested in looking at aggregate results, such as the cumulative tests (ie., types of results that could be a publication figure), but I don’t have a good handle on those numbers. Like with the UCERF3 results, the potential user base would probably increase depending on the availability of the data products and simulations results.

NSF MRI-1 Solicitation Site

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