Difference between revisions of "Forecast Data"

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== Related Projects ==
 
== Related Projects ==
 +
Data Discovery CI:
 
*[https://bd2k.ini.usc.edu/tools/deriva/ Deriva Project]
 
*[https://bd2k.ini.usc.edu/tools/deriva/ Deriva Project]
 +
*[https://eugeneyan.com/writing/data-discovery-platforms Data Discovery Platforms]
 +
Reproducibility Projects:
 
*[https://wholetale.org/ WholeTale Project]
 
*[https://wholetale.org/ WholeTale Project]
*[https://www.iris.edu/hq/initiatives/rapid_response Geohazard Projects]
+
Trustworthy Computing Projects:
*[https://www.iris.edu/hq/initiatives/rapid_response Mid-scale Research Infrastructure - 1]
+
*[https://sciencenode.org/feature/Trustworthy%20forecasts.php Trustworthy Forecast Project]
*[https://www.nsf.gov/cise/harnessingdata/ HarnessingDataRevolution]
+
Software Institute
*[https://sciencenode.org/feature/Trustworthy_forecasts.php Trustworthy Forecast Project]
 
*[https://www.nsf.gov/pubs/2020/nsf20091/nsf20091.jsp NSF CISE DCL Big Ideas]
 
 
*[https://molssi.org/ Software Institute]
 
*[https://molssi.org/ Software Institute]
*[https://www.nsf.gov/geo/geo-ci/index.jsp NSF Geoscience opportunities]
+
Time Series Forecasting Service
*[https://www.tulane.edu/~sanelson/Natural_Disasters/introduction.htm Geohazard Overview]
 
*[https://eugeneyan.com/writing/data-discovery-platforms Data Discovery Platforms]
 
 
*[https://medium.com/oreillymedia/the-future-of-time-series-forecasting-bd83c2aca9a8 Time Series Forecasting Services]
 
*[https://medium.com/oreillymedia/the-future-of-time-series-forecasting-bd83c2aca9a8 Time Series Forecasting Services]
  
==Forecast User Base Estimates ==
+
== Seismic Hazard User Base Estimates ==
 +
*[https://www.iris.edu/hq/initiatives/rapid_response Geohazard Projects]
 +
*[https://www.tulane.edu/~sanelson/Natural_Disasters/introduction.htm Geohazard Research and Users Community Overview]
 +
 
 
*We have these estimates of the user base for products that come out of CISM and CSEP. And how those numbers are documented. UCERF3-ETAS: 5-10 people currently look at raw simulation results. If we create a full operational system, it would potentially have broad user base, but it's currently in a research mode and only shared with interested and sophisticated users.
 
*We have these estimates of the user base for products that come out of CISM and CSEP. And how those numbers are documented. UCERF3-ETAS: 5-10 people currently look at raw simulation results. If we create a full operational system, it would potentially have broad user base, but it's currently in a research mode and only shared with interested and sophisticated users.
 
*UCERF3+ Inversions: The inversion results will be looked at by the core WGCEP team and shared with the scientific review panel, so probably 5-10 diving in and looking at detailed results, ~30 looking at summary plots. The New Zealand team would likely be interested in these capabilities as well, which could double the user base.RSQSim: Likely always a small group, <10 looking at RSQSim results and downstream products (ground motion simulations)
 
*UCERF3+ Inversions: The inversion results will be looked at by the core WGCEP team and shared with the scientific review panel, so probably 5-10 diving in and looking at detailed results, ~30 looking at summary plots. The New Zealand team would likely be interested in these capabilities as well, which could double the user base.RSQSim: Likely always a small group, <10 looking at RSQSim results and downstream products (ground motion simulations)
 
*With the RISE experiment gearing up and many new modelers looking to get their models tested, and assuming that UCERF3/4 goes under prospective testing I expect between 20-30 people will be interested in looking at individual forecast and evaluation results. An additional ~10 would be interested in looking at aggregate results, such as the cumulative tests (ie., types of results that could be a publication figure), but I don’t have a good handle on those numbers. Like with the UCERF3 results, the potential user base would probably increase depending on the availability of the data products and simulations results.
 
*With the RISE experiment gearing up and many new modelers looking to get their models tested, and assuming that UCERF3/4 goes under prospective testing I expect between 20-30 people will be interested in looking at individual forecast and evaluation results. An additional ~10 would be interested in looking at aggregate results, such as the cumulative tests (ie., types of results that could be a publication figure), but I don’t have a good handle on those numbers. Like with the UCERF3 results, the potential user base would probably increase depending on the availability of the data products and simulations results.
  
== NSF MRI-1 Solicitation Site ==
+
== NSF Solicitations Site ==
 
*[https://www.nsf.gov/pubs/2021/nsf21505/nsf21505.htm Solicitation]
 
*[https://www.nsf.gov/pubs/2021/nsf21505/nsf21505.htm Solicitation]
 +
*[https://www.nsf.gov/geo/geo-ci/index.jsp NSF Geoscience opportunities]
 +
*[https://www.iris.edu/hq/initiatives/rapid_response Mid-scale Research Infrastructure - 1]
 +
*[https://www.nsf.gov/cise/harnessingdata/ HarnessingDataRevolution]
 +
*[https://www.nsf.gov/pubs/2020/nsf20091/nsf20091.jsp NSF CISE DCL Big Ideas]
  
 
== Related Entries ==
 
== Related Entries ==
 
*[[CME_Project]]
 
*[[CME_Project]]

Revision as of 04:38, 9 December 2020

Links to existing SCEC Forecast Data Distribution Methods:

Forecast Data Descriptions

Forecast Data Listings

ETAS Simulation Data:

UCERF Project Data:

CSEP Project Data:

Ground Motion Simulation Project Data:

Event Response Data:

Broadband Platform Data:

Data Sharing Methods

Related Projects

Data Discovery CI:

Reproducibility Projects:

Trustworthy Computing Projects:

Software Institute

Time Series Forecasting Service

Seismic Hazard User Base Estimates

  • We have these estimates of the user base for products that come out of CISM and CSEP. And how those numbers are documented. UCERF3-ETAS: 5-10 people currently look at raw simulation results. If we create a full operational system, it would potentially have broad user base, but it's currently in a research mode and only shared with interested and sophisticated users.
  • UCERF3+ Inversions: The inversion results will be looked at by the core WGCEP team and shared with the scientific review panel, so probably 5-10 diving in and looking at detailed results, ~30 looking at summary plots. The New Zealand team would likely be interested in these capabilities as well, which could double the user base.RSQSim: Likely always a small group, <10 looking at RSQSim results and downstream products (ground motion simulations)
  • With the RISE experiment gearing up and many new modelers looking to get their models tested, and assuming that UCERF3/4 goes under prospective testing I expect between 20-30 people will be interested in looking at individual forecast and evaluation results. An additional ~10 would be interested in looking at aggregate results, such as the cumulative tests (ie., types of results that could be a publication figure), but I don’t have a good handle on those numbers. Like with the UCERF3 results, the potential user base would probably increase depending on the availability of the data products and simulations results.

NSF Solicitations Site

Related Entries