UCERF3.0

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Unified California Earthquake Rupture Forecast UCERF3.0 is a scientific hazard estimate for California that is currently under-development. UCERF3.0 is expected to be released by the USGS in June 2012. When released UCERF3.0 will become the scientific basis for long-term seismic hazard estimates in California.

Collaborative scientific development of UCERF3.0 is performed by the Working Group on California Earth Probabilities (WGCEP), lead by USGS, SCEC, and California Earthquake Authority.

UCERF development is part of the 5 year seismic hazard evaluation process. The 5 year update cycle for UCERF's are synchronized with the 5 year building code development and review process. UCERF2.0 was releases in 2007

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